The article, Imminence in Justified Targeted Killing,
by Russell Christopher in our Targeted
Killings book brings up some interesting points about the concept of
imminence and the imminence requirement for the justification of
self-defense. Christopher is able
to punch some serious holes in this theory that self-defense must come when
attack is imminent. One of the more convincing arguments that I saw was that
the imminence requirement favors those parties that have the ability to move
and act swiftly, while disadvantaging actors who either don’t have the
resources or time to react quickly and, therefore, effectively defend
themselves. This is a criticism that Christopher uses in his assessment of
conflicts between states and non-state entities, such as Al Queda. The problem
with the imminence standard is because of the fact that these non-state
entities are unpredictable in their actions and are hard to survey. They could,
therefore, strike at any moment.
This line of thought
brings up the idea that perhaps the idea of defending oneself from an “imminent
threat” as the only justifiable case of self-defense should be rethought.
Christopher brings up the notion of measuring imminence based on both a
temporal and action component. However, doesn’t the action component also make
it hard to effectively defend oneself? After all, if you are waiting for an
action that can serve as an “objective manifestation”, then is it not also too
late to demonstrate an effective self-defense. This is something that also
presents itself in our use of drones to target terrorists, both in the temporal
and action sense. When we target terrorists, it is usually when they are doing
something that is completely mundane. Let us take the famous raid of Seal Team
Six on Osama bin Laden’s compound on May 1, 2011 (although this example may not
be one of a drone taking out the target, drones did play a part in the initial
surveillance). At the time, bin Laden wasn’t engaging in anything sinister. He
was sleeping. There may have been evidence that he was planning another attack,
but to my knowledge, it was not likely to occur soon or at least immediately.
One could say that bin Laden’s status as a terrorist would be enough to label
him as a perpetual or ongoing threat. However, I believe that another, albeit,
very related explanation is in order.
In my opinion, imminence,
at least in the sense that we are discussing it here, should be removed from
the temporal mindset and be redefined. This redefinition isn’t something that
needs to be completely drastic in terms of regular thought, just a simple
paradigm shift. It is my belief that, in describing what we would label as “imminent”,
we shouldn’t think of when this would
occur, but instead, if it is to occur
at all. The “ongoing threat” status
that many terrorists receive in justifying their being targeted, while related
to the assessment I pose, is too limited in its temporal scope, pertaining
strictly to immediate events, instead of the long-term potentiality of the risk.
In essence, I am criticizing idea that a threat is only open to self-defense
when it is immediate and upon you as being both too “procrastinative” (if that’s a
word) and too urgent. It is too "procrastinative" in the sense that it has not taken into account that the immediate threat could have been circumvented if something had been done sooner and it is too urgent in that it is tries to couch everything in this sense that an attack could happen at any moment, which could lead to rushed action and could also cause them to overlook certain measures that would ensure the target's guilt (instead of retroactively realizing we may have killed the wrong individual).
Instead of thinking of it
like a time bomb that will go off in seconds if nothing is done, think of it as
you would a reformed alcoholic. There is no guarantee that the reformed
alcoholic would ever drink again, even in the presence of alcohol, but are you
willing to take the chance of him falling off the wagon, even if him eventually
turning to drinking again would take place years down the line? Another and
probably clearer example would be the Norman case, where a woman killed her
abusive husband in his sleep because she felt he would eventually kill her. In
his sleep, the man posed no threat to her. There was also the consideration
that it would be years before he could actually kill her or that she could live
under his abuse for the rest of his life and she would never die from it
(although such a life would also be incredibly tragic). Hell, there was even
the possibility that he could wake up and decide that he was never going to hit
her again. However, it was her judgment, based on his past behavior, that the
likelihood of her being killed by him was too high to take the risk of living
under his abuse for one more day. I believe that a similar mindset should be used to
justify targeted killings of terrorist combatants.
I realize that such a
perspective is also problematic in its own right and, to be clear, this is not
my own definite position. This is simply based on thoughts I had while reading
the article.
I agree with your statement that we must redefine imminent as it refers to threats. While I think time will tell whether pre-emptive action based on your revised definition of imminent is justified or not, the fact of the matter is that a lack of action can potentially be just as dangerous as action taken. While Israel's use of pre-emptive tactics is highly controversial and often met with opposition, their ability to counteract a known threat is the reason the number of suicide bombings in the country has decreased so drastically. Apparently, Israel is able to perceive and act on a threat within an average of 7 minutes of determining its validity. Just something to consider when questioning pre-emptive warfare's ethical justifications.
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